Match Info

3rd Division - Promotion Group - Round 23

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Tingbjerg Idraetspark (Copenhagen)


	Brønshøj BK		Næsby

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.45	2.4
	2.45	3.43	2.55
	2.45	3.58	2.5	Watch
	2.45	3.1	2.5
	2.41	3.35	2.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.33)	3.38 ↓ (3.51)	2.49 ↓ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brønshøj BK
37.1%

Draw
26.7%

Næsby
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

26.2%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

25.5%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brønshøj BK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Næsby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brønshøj BK than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Næsby than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Brønshøj BK - Næsby Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Larsen L. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+2', 1 - 1, Kiilerich Overgaard L. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brønshøj won 2.

Brønshøj has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Næsby's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Brønshøj won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 2:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Brønshøj won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:9. (average 2:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Bronshoj	10	5	4	1	18:10	8	19
4	Naesby	10	5	2	3	20:14	6	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brønshøj BK
Danish 3 Division
06.04.26	Brønshøj BK - Holbæk	0:2 ✺
01.04.26	Hørsholm-Usserød - Brønshøj BK	3:0 ✺
28.03.26	Brønshøj BK - Odder	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	FA 2000 - Brønshøj BK	4:0 ✺
13.03.26	Brønshøj BK - BK Frem	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLWLT
- Næsby BK
Danish 3 Division
06.04.26	Næsby - BK Frem	3:2 ✺
02.04.26	Vanløse - Næsby	2:0 ✺
28.03.26	Næsby - Hørsholm-Usserød	4:1 ✺
21.03.26	Vejgaard - Næsby	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Næsby - Odder	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 3 Division
18.10.25	Næsby - Brønshøj BK	1:5
14.09.25	Brønshøj BK - Næsby	3:2
17.05.25	Næsby - Brønshøj BK	2:1
26.04.25	Brønshøj BK - Næsby	2:4
26.10.24	Næsby - Brønshøj BK	1:1
03.08.24	Brønshøj BK - Næsby	1:1
Danish 2 Division - Relegation Group
26.05.18	Brønshøj BK - Næsby	2:2

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