Match Info

3rd Division - Round 6

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: ALPI Arena Naesby (Odense)


	Næsby		Hørsholm-Usserød

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.90	4.00
	1.64	3.75	4.25
	1.69	3.96	3.99
	1.7	4	4.03	Watch
	1.68	3.90	3.95
	1.65	4.25	3.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.64)	3.96 ↑ (3.78)	4.03 ↓ (4.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Næsby
54.5%

Draw
22.9%

Hørsholm-Usserød
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

24.1%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

25.9%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Næsby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Hørsholm-Usserød has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Næsby than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hørsholm-Usserød than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Næsby - Hørsholm Usserød Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 3)

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone 3rd Division (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone 3rd Division (Relegation Group: )).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Næsby may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Næsby has had a series of away games.

In this match, Næsby is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Næsby won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:4. (average 3.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Næsby won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 4.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Naesby	10	5	2	3	20:14	6	17
8	Horsholm-Usserod	10	3	3	4	20:19	1	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Næsby BK
Danish 3 Division
29.08.26	Holbæk - Næsby	3:2 ✺
22.08.26	Ishøj IF - Næsby	1:5 ✺
15.08.26	Næsby - Brønshøj BK	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Vanløse - Næsby	3:0 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
04.08.26	Kolding BK - Næsby	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWTLW
- Hørsholm-Usserød IK
Danish 3 Division
29.08.26	Hørsholm-Usserød - Brønshøj BK	0:2 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
25.08.26	Helsingør - Hørsholm-Usserød	2:5 ✺
Danish 3 Division
22.08.26	Sundby - Hørsholm-Usserød	4:4 ✺
15.08.26	Hørsholm-Usserød - Ishøj IF	2:0 ✺
07.08.26	BK Frem - Hørsholm-Usserød	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Danish 3 Division
13.06.26	Hørsholm-Usserød - Næsby	2:4
09.05.26	Næsby - Hørsholm-Usserød	5:0
28.03.26	Næsby - Hørsholm-Usserød	4:1
30.08.25	Hørsholm-Usserød - Næsby	1:1

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