Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP A - ROUND 31

Date: 12 March 2023, Sunday


	Bra		Fossano

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.33	6.5
	1.48	3.91	5.62
	1.36	4.33	6.5
	1.4	4.33	7.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.35)	4.23 ↓ (4.45)	6.43 ↓ (6.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bra
64.5%

Draw
21.4%

Fossano
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.8%

20.3%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.9%

19.1%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Fossano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bra than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fossano than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs) and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Bra in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Fossano is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Fossano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bra is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Bra to win the game is with odds 1.43.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bra won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Bra won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Bra
Italian Serie D - Group A
05.03.23	Chieri - Bra	0:1 ✺
26.02.23	Bra - Castellanzese	1:0 ✺
19.02.23	PDHAE - Bra	0:2 ✺
12.02.23	Bra - Chisola	1:0 ✺
08.02.23	Derthona - Bra	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWWWW
- Fossano Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group A
05.03.23	Fossano - Legnano	1:1 ✺
25.02.23	Fezzanese - Fossano	2:1 ✺
19.02.23	Fossano - Sestri Levante	1:3 ✺
15.02.23	Fossano - Gozzano	2:5 ✺
12.02.23	Stresa Vergante - Fossano	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
06.11.22	Fossano - Bra	0:1
12.02.22	Fossano - Bra	0:0
06.10.21	Bra - Fossano	2:0
24.02.21	Bra - Fossano	3:0
07.10.20	Fossano - Bra	0:1

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