The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Brabrand 24.8%
Draw 25%
Roskilde 50.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.4%
26.5%
47.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.6%
25.7%
48.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brabrand has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Roskilde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brabrand than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roskilde than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Brabrand - Roskilde Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone 2nd Division (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 2nd Division (Promotion Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brabrand won 0.
Brabrand is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Roskilde is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Roskilde may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Roskilde has had a series of away games.
Roskilde might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Brabrand won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 1.3:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Brabrand won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Roskilde
10
4
6
0
18:10
8
18
9
Brabrand
10
2
3
5
12:18
-6
9
Last Results with these Odds
Brabrand - the odds 3.45 are the expected chance of winning is 26.38%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.