Match Info

2nd Division - Promotion Group - Round 24

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday


	Næstved BK		Roskilde

	1	X	2
	2.14	3.25	2.95
	2.1	3.56	3.3
	2.19	3.56	3.01	Watch
	2.1	3.2	3
	2.21	3.36	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.36)	3.39 ↑ (3.18)	3.08 ↑ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Næstved BK
42.9%

Draw
27.2%

Roskilde
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

28.5%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

27.7%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Næstved BK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Roskilde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Næstved BK than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roskilde than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Næstved BK - Roskilde Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Næstved will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Roskilde will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Næstved won 4.

Næstved has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Roskilde has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Næstved won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 34:30. (average 1.7:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Næstved won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:15. (average 1.9:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Roskilde	10	4	6	0	18:10	8	18
6	Naestved	10	3	6	1	14:12	2	15

Last Results with these Odds

Næstved BK - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 38.37%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Roskilde - the odds 2.73 are the expected chance of winning is 33.16%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Næstved BK
Danish 2 Division
11.04.26	Thisted - Næstved BK	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Næstved BK - Hellerup	2:1 ✺
02.04.26	Roskilde - Næstved BK	2:3 ✺
29.03.26	Næstved BK - Brabrand	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	Skive IK - Næstved BK	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWWTT
- FC Roskilde
Danish 2 Division
11.04.26	Roskilde - Vendsyssel	1:1 ✺
06.04.26	Vendsyssel - Roskilde	3:0 ✺
02.04.26	Roskilde - Næstved BK	2:3 ✺
27.03.26	AB Copenhagen - Roskilde	2:0 ✺
20.03.26	Roskilde - Helsingør	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 2 Division
02.04.26	Roskilde - Næstved BK	2:3
01.08.25	Næstved BK - Roskilde	1:0
Club Friendly
18.02.24	Roskilde - Næstved BK	1:2
21.01.23	Næstved BK - Roskilde	1:2
22.01.22	Næstved BK - Roskilde	3:1
Danish 2 Division - Group 2
05.04.21	Næstved BK - Roskilde	2:3
29.09.20	Roskilde - Næstved BK	0:1

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