Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 4

Date: 24 August 2024, Saturday


	Brackley Town		Curzon Ashton

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.2	3.1
	2.15	3	3.1
	2.25	3.2	3.1
	2.29	3.2	3.17
	2.28	3.17	3.2
	2.28	3.1	3.15
	2.25	3.2	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.31)	3.15 ↓ (3.22)	3.13 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brackley Town
41.1%

Draw
29.3%

Curzon Ashton
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

28.6%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

27.5%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brackley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Curzon Ashton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brackley Town than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Curzon Ashton than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Brackley Town - Curzon Ashton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Pollock S. ⚽,
12', 2 - 0, Newton D. ⚽,
42', 3 - 0, Roberts M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
68', 4 - 0, Lowe M. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brackley won 1.

Recent matches Brackley is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Curzon Ashton is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Curzon Ashton have a series of home games.

Brackley will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Brackley won 7 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 23-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Brackley won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-6.

Last Results with these Odds

Brackley Town - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 40%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brackley Town
English National League North
20.08.24	Kidderminster Harriers - Brackley Town	1:0 ✺
17.08.24	Chester - Brackley Town	0:1 ✺
10.08.24	Brackley Town - Scunthorpe United	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Chesham United - Brackley Town	1:2 ✺
27.07.24	Brackley Town - Northampton Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLWL
- Curzon Ashton
English National League North
20.08.24	Curzon Ashton - Oxford City	1:0 ✺
17.08.24	South Shields - Curzon Ashton	1:2 ✺
10.08.24	Curzon Ashton - Needham Market	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Curzon Ashton - Halifax Town	0:0 ✺
30.07.24	Curzon Ashton - Altrincham	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
16.12.23	Curzon Ashton - Brackley Town	2:0
23.09.23	Brackley Town - Curzon Ashton	0:2
11.03.23	Curzon Ashton - Brackley Town	3:1
12.11.22	Brackley Town - Curzon Ashton	1:0
05.04.22	Curzon Ashton - Brackley Town	0:0
20.11.21	Brackley Town - Curzon Ashton	0:0
10.10.20	Brackley Town - Curzon Ashton	2:2

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