Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 2

Date: 17 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Deva Stadium (Chester)


	Chester		Brackley Town

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	2.8
	2.25	3	2.87
	2.35	3.25	2.9
	2.42	3.2	2.96
	2.41	3.15	3
	2.4	3.13	2.95
	2.35	3.25	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.21)	3.2 ↓ (3.32)	2.91 ↓ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chester
39.4%

Draw
28.9%

Brackley Town
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

27.6%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

26.3%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Brackley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chester than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brackley Town than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Chester - Brackley Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
71', 0 - 1, Hall C. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chester won 2.

Chester is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Brackley is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chester could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Chester have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Chester won 4 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Chester won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chester City
English National League North
10.08.24	Spennymoor Town - Chester	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
27.07.24	Chester - Altrincham	1:0 ✺
24.07.24	Chester - Manchester United U21	1:3 ✺
11.07.24	Chester - Stoke City	0:3 ✺
06.07.24	Chester - Stockport County	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWLLL
- Brackley Town
English National League North
10.08.24	Brackley Town - Scunthorpe United	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Chesham United - Brackley Town	1:2 ✺
27.07.24	Brackley Town - Northampton Town	1:2 ✺
23.07.24	Harborough Town - Brackley Town	0:2 ✺
20.07.24	Quorn - Brackley Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
13.04.24	Brackley Town - Chester	3:1
05.12.23	Chester - Brackley Town	1:0
07.05.23	Chester - Brackley Town	0:1
07.01.23	Brackley Town - Chester	1:1
13.08.22	Chester - Brackley Town	2:0
07.05.22	Brackley Town - Chester	0:0
01.02.22	Chester - Brackley Town	1:1

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