The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Brackley Town 33.3%
Draw 25.7%
Harborough Town 41%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.9%
26.6%
32.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.2%
27.4%
31.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brackley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brackley Town's form might have worsened.
Harborough Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Harborough Town's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brackley Town than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brackley Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harborough Town than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Harborough Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Brackley Town - Harborough Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Fogarty T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
Brackley has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Harborough is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Brackley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Brackley won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
Outrights of English National League North for now
Harborough: 1.78%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
17
Harborough
10
3
3
4
10:12
-2
12
19
Brackley Town
10
3
3
4
11:19
-8
12
Last Results with these Odds
Brackley Town - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 40.92%, but this team recently wins 65% of matches with these odds.