Match Info

National League North - Round 5

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday

Location: Keys Park (Hednesford)


	Hednesford Town		Harborough Town

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	2.7
	2.25	3.40	2.55
	2.25	3.4	2.75
	2.37	3.65	2.7
	2.35	3.6	2.73	Watch
	2.3	3.45	2.6
	2.29	3.38	2.65
	2.23	3.35	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.55)	3.45 ↑ (3.15)	2.67 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hednesford Town
39.8%

Draw
26.3%

Harborough Town
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

28.4%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hednesford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Harborough Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Hednesford Town - Harborough Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
54', 0 - 1, Assombalonga B. ⚽,
83', 1 - 1, Langston G. ⚽,
85', 2 - 1, Abimbola D. ⚽,

Preview

Harborough is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hednesford won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Outrights of English National League North for now

Hednesford: 3.76% Harborough: 1.74%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Hednesford	10	3	3	4	17:17	0	12
17	Harborough	10	3	3	4	10:12	-2	12

Last Results with these Odds

Harborough Town - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 36.52%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hednesford Town
English National League North
22.08.26	AFC Telford United - Hednesford Town	1:1 ✺
18.08.26	Hednesford Town - Southport	2:2 ✺
15.08.26	Hednesford Town - Scarborough Athletic	3:4 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Hednesford Town - Solihull Moors	1:2 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
04.05.26	Hednesford Town - Warrington Rylands	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TTLLW
- Harborough Town
English National League North
22.08.26	Harborough Town - Darlington	4:2 ✺
18.08.26	Oxford City - Harborough Town	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Harborough Town - Morecambe	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Quorn - Harborough Town	2:2 ✺
11.07.26	Real Bedford - Harborough Town	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Harborough Town - Hednesford Town	2:0

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