Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 8

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday


	Bracknell Town		Havant & Waterlooville

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.40	2.60
	2.25	3.4	2.55
	2.31	3.35	2.67
	2.35	3.66	2.7	Watch
	2.25	3.25	2.6
	2.24	3.48	2.58
	2.26	3.45	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.27)	3.43 ↓ (3.6)	2.61 ↑ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bracknell Town
39.4%

Draw
26.2%

Havant & Waterlooville
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

25%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

24.2%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bracknell Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Havant & Waterlooville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bracknell Town than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Havant & Waterlooville than the current prediction. (+2%)

Bracknell Town - Havant & Waterlooville Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Seager R. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
70', 1 - 1, Daws M. ⚽,
71', 2 - 1, Guzynski M. ⚽,

Preview

A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 18th and 21st in the Relegation).

Bracknell is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Havant has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Havant may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Bracknell has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 7:4 (averaging 1.8:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Bracknell against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 6:4 goals (averaging 2:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Bracknell	9	3	2	4	11:18	-7	11
21	Havant & W	9	1	2	6	9:16	-7	5

Last Results with these Odds

Bracknell Town - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 39.78%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bracknell Town
English Southern League South Division
12.09.26	Wimborne Town - Bracknell Town	2:0 ✺
31.08.26	Basingstoke Town - Bracknell Town	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Bracknell Town - Sholing	3:1 ✺
22.08.26	Yate Town - Bracknell Town	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Bracknell Town - Malvern Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWLT
- Havant & Waterlooville
English Southern League South Division
12.09.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Poole Town	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
08.09.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Chippenham Town	1:3 ✺
English Southern League South Division
31.08.26	Chichester City - Havant & Waterlooville	3:2 ✺
29.08.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Gloucester City	3:3 ✺
22.08.26	Plymouth Parkway - Havant & Waterlooville	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
28.01.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Bracknell Town	0:1
17.11.25	Bracknell Town - Havant & Waterlooville	3:0
07.09.24	Bracknell Town - Havant & Waterlooville	1:1
English FA Trophy
15.12.20	Bracknell Town - Havant & Waterlooville	2:3

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