Match Info

Campeonato Nacional U19 - Relegation Group - Round 3

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday


	Braga U19		Paços de Ferreira U19

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.45	6.1
	1.41	4.66	6.13
	1.41	4.52	6.09
	1.36	4.55	6.82
	1.38	4.75	6.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.51)	4.59 ↑ (4.06)	6.29 ↑ (5.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Braga U19
65.7%

Draw
19.9%

Paços de Ferreira U19
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

22.4%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

21.2%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Braga U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Braga U19's performance.

Paços de Ferreira U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braga U19 than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paços de Ferreira U19 than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Braga U19 - Paços de Ferreira U19 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Braga U19 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Paços U19 has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Braga U19 is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Braga U19 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.5:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Braga U19 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Braga U19
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
31.01.26	Vizela U19 - Braga U19	1:8 ✺
24.01.26	Braga U19 - Moreirense U19	0:2 ✺
10.01.26	Braga U19 - Chaves U19	4:1 ✺
04.01.26	Vitoria Guimarães U19 - Braga U19	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Braga U19 - Moreirense U19	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWTL
- Paços de Ferreira U19
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
31.01.26	Paços de Ferreira U19 - Chaves U19	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Vitoria Guimarães U19 - Paços de Ferreira U19	3:1 ✺
10.01.26	Paços de Ferreira U19 - Moreirense U19	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Porto U19 - Paços de Ferreira U19	4:2 ✺
21.12.25	Paços de Ferreira U19 - Gil Vicente U19	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
13.12.25	Braga U19 - Paços de Ferreira U19	2:1
30.08.25	Paços de Ferreira U19 - Braga U19	2:1
20.01.24	Paços de Ferreira U19 - Braga U19	5:1
28.10.23	Braga U19 - Paços de Ferreira U19	2:1

Braga U19 - Paços de Ferreira U19: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide