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Current Win Probability
Paços de Ferreira U19 37.4%
Draw 26.1%
Gil Vicente U19 36.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.2%
23.4%
49.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.5%
22.8%
50.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paços de Ferreira U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paços de Ferreira U19's performance.
Gil Vicente U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gil Vicente U19 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paços de Ferreira U19 than the current prediction. (-10.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paços de Ferreira U19 that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gil Vicente U19 than the current prediction. (+14.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gil Vicente U19 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Paços de Ferreira U19 - Gil Vicente U19 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
80', 0 - 1, ⚽,
83', 0 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Nacional U19 (Championship Group: )).
Recent form of Paços U19 has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Gil Vicente U19 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Paços U19 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Gil Vicente U19 might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paços U19 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.8:2.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Paços U19 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).