Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 12

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal Bragança (Bragança)


	Bragança		Chaves B

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.1	3.85
	1.84	3.35	4	Watch
	1.85	3	4
	1.86	3.18	4.01
	1.83	3.2	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.17)	3.17 ↓ (3.3)	3.97 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bragança
48.8%

Draw
28.5%

Chaves B
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

27.5%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

26.7%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bragança has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bragança's performance.

Chaves B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chaves B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bragança than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bragança that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaves B than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chaves B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bragança - Chaves B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
68', 1 - 1, ⚽,
70', 🟥,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).

Bragança is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Chaves B's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Bragança will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GD Bragança
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
07.12.25	Bragança - Camacha	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	Limianos - Bragança	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Bragança - Machico	4:1 ✺
02.11.25	Desportivo Monção - Bragança	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Bragança - Brito	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTWLW
- Desportivo Chaves B
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
07.12.25	Limianos - Chaves B	2:2 ✺
29.11.25	Chaves B - Desportivo Monção	4:2 ✺
09.11.25	Mirandela - Chaves B	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Chaves B - Ribeira Brava	3:0 ✺
26.10.25	Celoricense - Chaves B	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWLWT

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