Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 15

Date: 22 January 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Bragança		Maria da Fonte

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.95	2.4
	2.5	2.9	2.63
	2.7	3	2.44
	2.88	3.04	2.49
	2.72	3.1	2.45
	2.75	3.1	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.31)	3.02 ↓ (3.26)	2.49 ↓ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bragança
33.5%

Draw
30.1%

Maria da Fonte
36.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.1%

27.7%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

27.9%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bragança has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bragança's form might have worsened.

Maria da Fonte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bragança than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bragança, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria da Fonte than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 11 in the zone Relegation).

Bragança is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Maria da Fonte is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Bragança won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GD Bragança
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
15.01.23	Brito - Bragança	1:0 ✺
08.01.23	São Martinho - Bragança	0:0 ✺
17.12.22	Bragança - Vila Meã	1:2 ✺
11.12.22	Vianense - Bragança	2:0 ✺
04.12.22	Bragança - Tirsense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LTLLT
- Maria da Fonte
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
15.01.23	Maria da Fonte - Dumiense	2:2 ✺
08.01.23	Maria da Fonte - Pevidem	3:2 ✺
18.12.22	Desportivo Monção - Maria da Fonte	0:3 ✺
11.12.22	Brito - Maria da Fonte	2:0 ✺
04.12.22	Maria da Fonte - São Martinho	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
25.09.22	Maria da Fonte - Bragança	0:0
03.01.21	Maria da Fonte - Bragança	2:2
23.02.20	Maria da Fonte - Bragança	1:0
Taça de Portugal
08.09.19	Maria da Fonte - Bragança	3:0

Bragança - Maria da Fonte

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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