Match Info
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 5Date: 28 September 2025, SundayLocation: Estádio Municipal Bragança (Bragança)
|
 |
|
 |
|
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Bragança |
|
São Martinho |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.91 |
3.57 |
3.29 |
|
 |
1.07 |
7.98 |
15.00 |
Watch |
 |
1.94 |
3.35 |
3.77 |
|
 |
1.38 |
4.33 |
6.33 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.58 ↑ (1.38) |
4.81 ↑ (4.33) |
7.1 ↑ (6.33) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Bragança 64.5% | Draw 21.1% | São Martinho 14.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bragança has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)São Martinho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bragança than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Martinho than the current prediction. (-0.8%)Bragança - São Martinho Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 79', 1 - 0, Martinho S. ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 and 14 in the zone Relegation).Bragança is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).São Martinho is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).Bragança may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Bragança is the undisputed favorite.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bragança won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).Including home match between the teams, Bragança won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;