Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 20

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday


	São Martinho		Machico

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.05	3.1
	2.2	2.94	3.23
	2.2	3.02	3.24	Watch
	2.15	2.8	3.2
	2.18	2.99	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.04)	2.96 ↓ (3.28)	3.2 ↓ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

São Martinho
41.4%

Draw
30.4%

Machico
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

27.6%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

27.7%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Martinho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Machico has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Martinho than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machico than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

São Martinho - Machico Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, ⚽,
31', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

São Martinho could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, São Martinho won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, São Martinho won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Associação Recreativa de São Martinho
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
22.02.26	Brito - São Martinho	3:1 ✺
15.02.26	São Martinho - Bragança	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	São Martinho - Vianense	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Ribeira Brava - São Martinho	0:1 ✺
25.01.26	Tirsense - São Martinho	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LTWWL
- AD Machico
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
22.02.26	Machico - Vianense	2:3 ✺
15.02.26	Tirsense - Machico	2:2 ✺
08.02.26	Machico - Chaves B	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Machico - Celoricense	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Limianos - Machico	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
26.10.25	Machico - São Martinho	0:1
Taça de Portugal
30.08.25	São Martinho - Machico	1:2

São Martinho - Machico: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide