Match Info

Superettan - Round 4

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Domnarvsvallen (Borlange)

Referee: Johnson O. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Play


	Brage		Varbergs BoIS

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	2.9	Watch
	2.22	3.4	3
	2.26	3.54	3.2
	2.26	3.5	2.99	Watch
	2.2	3.2	2.9
	2.19	3.54	3.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.41)	3.43 ↑ (3.42)	3 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brage
42.1%

Draw
27%

Varbergs BoIS
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

27.3%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

29%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brage has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Varbergs BoIS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brage than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varbergs BoIS than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

Brage - Varbergs BoIS Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Brage will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Varberg will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Frodig V. (G) 23. Horberg F. 2. Zetterstrom A. (C) 22. Stagaard T. 24. Hellblom A. 28. Granstrom G. 8. Sporrong A. 10. Berggren G. 12. Mortensen A. 11. Lundin A. 20. Nordh G.	1. Ekman O. (G) 6. Silverholt O. 17. Tellgren E. 2. Broman G. (C) 5. Hellman E. 15. Johansson N. 28. Sadiku E. 8. Winbo A. 7. Arlig W. 49. Borgelin S. 12. Nioule S.
Substitutes
19. Brkic H. 13. Engdahl A. (G) 30. Guadagno J. (G) 17. Jonsson P. 7. Larsen M. 21. Ostberg N. 4. Persson M. 14. Skille J. 15. Stark O.	9. Bitiqi A. 22. Dahlstrom N. 18. Lindner J. 19. Nilsson J. 29. Strindholm D. (G) 16. Thorsson A. 21. Vidjeskog I. 3. Zackrisson H.
Coaches
Kallberg G.	Salwen V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Arlig W. ⚽, Silverholt O. (A),
10', Johansson N. 🟨,
11', Lundin A. 🟨,
43', 0 - 2, Borgelin S. ⚽, Arlig W. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', Mortensen A. ↓, Skille J. ↑,
59', 1 - 2, Horberg F. ⚽, Lundin A. (A),
63', Arlig W. ↓, Nilsson J. ↑,
63', Johansson N. ↓, Vidjeskog I. ↑,
67', Vidjeskog I. 🟨,
70', Zetterstrom A. 🟨,
74', Granstrom G. ↓, Jonsson P. ↑,
74', 2 - 2, Skille J. ⚽,
78', Borgelin S. ↓, Bitiqi A. ↑,
82', Nioule S. 🟨,
83', Lundin A. ↓, Brkic H. ↑,
83', Hellblom A. ↓, Persson M. ↑,
90+2', Silverholt O. ↓, Dahlstrom N. ↑,
90+2', Winbo A. ↓, Lindner J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brage won 3.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Varberg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Brage might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Brage won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Brage won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.7:1.8).

Outrights of Swedish Superettan for now

Varberg: 0.34%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Varberg	25	13	5	7	44:33	11	44
15	Brage	25	5	8	12	39:48	-9	23

Last Results with these Odds

Brage - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 38.74%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Varbergs BoIS - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 33.95%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IK Brage
Swedish Superettan
20.04.26	Sundsvall - Brage	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Brage - Oddevold	3:4 ✺
05.04.26	Norrby - Brage	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
28.03.26	Brommapojkarna - Brage	1:2 ✺
Svenska Cupen
07.03.26	Brage - Örebro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WLWWW
- Varbergs BoIS
Swedish Superettan
18.04.26	Varbergs BoIS - United Nordic	4:1 ✺
12.04.26	Sandviken - Varbergs BoIS	2:2 ✺
06.04.26	Varbergs BoIS - Östersund	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
28.03.26	Hässleholm - Varbergs BoIS	0:1
Svenska Cupen
08.03.26	Varbergs BoIS - Karlstad	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
01.11.25	Varbergs BoIS - Brage	1:2
13.04.25	Brage - Varbergs BoIS	1:1
22.09.24	Varbergs BoIS - Brage	0:1
01.04.24	Brage - Varbergs BoIS	1:0
19.08.19	Varbergs BoIS - Brage	0:0
28.04.19	Brage - Varbergs BoIS	1:2
05.11.18	Varbergs BoIS - Brage	1:2

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