Match Info

Superettan - Round 19

Date: 14 August 2026, Friday

Location: Domnarvsvallen (Borlange)

Referee: Mattsson E. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Brage		Örebro

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.60	3.75
	1.83	3.60	3.60
	1.90	3.60	3.35
	1.92	3.81	3.95
	1.83	3.86	3.89	Watch
	1.86	3.60	4.00
	1.87	3.74	3.74	Watch
	1.82	3.60	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.11)	3.68 ↑ (3.53)	3.74 ↑ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brage
50.1%

Draw
25.2%

Örebro
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

26.3%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

24.3%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brage has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brage's performance.

Örebro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brage than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brage that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Örebro than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Örebro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Brage - Örebro Predictions

Users Predictions: Brage will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Frodig V. (G) 24. Hellblom A. 2. Zetterstrom A. (C) 22. Stagaard T. 4. Persson M. 9. Trpcevski F. 8. Sporrong A. 20. Okeke V. 6. Madsen L. 12. Mortensen A. 19. Sise M.	75. Ojrzynski J. (G) 2. Ghasem A. 4. McCue E. 32. Stenberg J. 7. Wikman S. 9. Yakoub A. 3. Sandberg V. 17. Holmberg K. (C) 8. Kusu M. 99. Yasin A. 10. Wiedesheim-Paul R.
Substitutes
28. Granstrom G. 30. Guadagno J. (G) 17. Jonsson P. 5. Konjuhi L. 11. Lundin A. 21. Ostberg N. 25. Pihlstrom A. 14. Skille J. 15. Stark O.	15. Astvald L. 22. Bovalina G. 14. Dana H. 24. Dukhan W. 6. Ibrahimbegovic E. 11. Redenstrand C. 30. Runheim B. (G) 12. Salihovic D. 21. Wahlstrom F.
Coaches
Kallberg G.	Norling R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Wiedesheim-Paul R. ⚽, Holmberg K. (A),
22', 1 - 1, Sise M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
49', Trpcevski F. 🟨,
54', 2 - 1, Madsen L. ⚽, Trpcevski F. (A),
60', 2 - 2, Yasin A. ⚽, Holmberg K. (A),
62', Ghasem A. ↓, Redenstrand C. ↑,
66', Hellblom A. ↓, Granstrom G. ↑,
66', Sise M. ↓, Lundin A. ↑,
66', Madsen L. ↓, Ostberg N. ↑,
74', Holmberg K. ↓, Ibrahimbegovic E. ↑,
81', 3 - 2, Lundin A. ⚽, Zetterstrom A. (A),
87', McCue E. ↓, Bovalina G. ↑,
87', Kusu M. ↓, Astvald L. ↑,
87', Sporrong A. ↓, Stark O. ↑,
89', Okeke V. ↓, Jonsson P. ↑,
90', Yakoub A. 🟨,
90+3', 3 - 3, Wiedesheim-Paul R. ⚽, Redenstrand C. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brage won 3.

Brage is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Örebro has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Brage might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Brage won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 33:22. (average 1.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Brage won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 2:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Orebro	25	5	9	11	27:39	-12	24
15	Brage	25	5	8	12	39:48	-9	23

Last Results with these Odds

Örebro - the odds 3.14 are the expected chance of winning is 29.6%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IK Brage
Swedish Superettan
08.08.26	Norrköping - Brage	3:0 ✺
01.08.26	Brage - Landskrona	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Värnamo - Brage	0:0 ✺
18.07.26	Öster - Brage	3:2 ✺
26.06.26	Brage - Falkenberg	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWTLL
- Örebro SK
Swedish Superettan
10.08.26	Norrby - Örebro	3:1 ✺
03.08.26	Örebro - Värnamo	1:3 ✺
27.07.26	Örebro - Oddevold	0:0 ✺
19.07.26	United Nordic - Örebro	2:0 ✺
27.06.26	Ljungskile - Örebro	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
08.05.26	Örebro - Brage	0:3
Svenska Cupen
07.03.26	Brage - Örebro	2:1
Swedish Superettan
20.09.25	Brage - Örebro	4:5
30.05.25	Örebro - Brage	3:3
28.07.24	Brage - Örebro	2:0
28.04.24	Örebro - Brage	2:1
Club Friendly
03.02.24	Örebro - Brage	1:2

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