Match Info

Date: 17 April 2022, Sunday


	Brandenburger		Greifswald

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.5	1.42
	6.25	4.8	1.27
	6	4.6	1.34
	6.27	5.31	1.4
	7.4	5.15	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.23 ↑ (6.21)	4.87 ↓ (4.93)	1.35 (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brandenburger
14.5%

Draw
18.6%

Greifswald
67%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.6%

18.4%

67.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.9%

20.8%

75.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brandenburger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Greifswald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandenburger than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greifswald than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Greifswald could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Brandenburger - Greifswald Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brandenburger won 0.

Recent matches Brandenburger is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pommern Greifswald is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Pommern Greifswald could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Pommern Greifswald is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Brandenburger won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Brandenburger won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brandenburger SC Süd 05
German Oberliga NOFV-Nord
09.04.22	Blau-Weiß Berlin - Brandenburger	2:0 ✺
02.04.22	Brandenburger - Lok Stendal	3:0 ✺
27.03.22	Brandenburger - Pampow	1:1 ✺
19.03.22	Hansa Rostock II - Brandenburger	0:3 ✺
12.03.22	Brandenburger - Rostocker FC	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LWTWL
- Greifswalder FC
German Oberliga NOFV-Nord
14.04.22	Greifswald - Blau-Weiß Berlin	0:1 ✺
10.04.22	Lok Stendal - Greifswald	1:2 ✺
01.04.22	Hansa Rostock II - Greifswald	1:2 ✺
19.03.22	Rostocker FC - Greifswald	0:3 ✺
06.03.22	Greifswald - TSG Neustrelitz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga NOFV-Nord
22.08.20	Brandenburger - Greifswald	0:3
28.09.19	Brandenburger - Greifswald	0:2
08.12.18	Brandenburger - Greifswald	0:4
14.06.15	Greifswald - Brandenburger	1:0
06.12.14	Brandenburger - Greifswald	5:1

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