Match Info

GERMANY: REGIONALLIGA NORDOST - ROUND 11

Date: 19 October 2023, Thursday


	Hansa Rostock II		Greifswald

	1	X	2
	3.75	4	1.66
	3.75	4.33	1.72
	3.59	4.17	1.61
	4.33	4.2	1.57
	4.1	4.25	1.67	Watch
	3.9	4.2	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.9 ↓ (4.65)	4.19 ↓ (4.5)	1.66 ↑ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hansa Rostock II
23.3%

Draw
21.7%

Greifswald
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.9%

20.6%

59.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4%

20.1%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hansa Rostock II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Greifswald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hansa Rostock II than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greifswald than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Greifswald could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	7.7%	61.5%

Hansa Rostock II - Greifswald Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Hansa Rostock II will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Greifswald will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Greifswald: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hansa Rostock II won 3.

Hansa Rostock II is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pommern Greifswald is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hansa Rostock II could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Pommern Greifswald is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Hansa Rostock II won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Hansa Rostock II won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hansa Rostock II
German Regionalliga Nordost
14.10.23	Hansa Rostock II - Luckenwalde	1:0 ✺
07.10.23	Carl Zeiss Jena - Hansa Rostock II	5:1 ✺
01.10.23	Hansa Rostock II - Eilenburg	2:2 ✺
24.09.23	Meuselwitz - Hansa Rostock II	4:2 ✺
17.09.23	Hansa Rostock II - Altglienicke	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLTLL
- Greifswalder FC
German Regionalliga Nordost
07.10.23	Greifswald - Rot-Weiß Erfurt	1:1 ✺
30.09.23	Viktoria 1889 Berlin - Greifswald	2:2 ✺
24.09.23	Greifswald - Hertha Berlin II	5:2 ✺
15.09.23	Luckenwalde - Greifswald	1:5 ✺
03.09.23	Greifswald - Berliner FC Dynamo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
10.01.23	Hansa Rostock II - Greifswald	1:0
German Oberliga NOFV-Nord
01.04.22	Hansa Rostock II - Greifswald	1:2
15.09.21	Greifswald - Hansa Rostock II	1:1
14.09.19	Hansa Rostock II - Greifswald	4:1
02.06.19	Hansa Rostock II - Greifswald	4:2
Club Friendly
16.02.19	Hansa Rostock II - Greifswald	0:0
German Oberliga NOFV-Nord
23.11.18	Greifswald - Hansa Rostock II	4:3

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