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Current Win Probability
Brasil de Farroupilha 59.5%
Draw 24.3%
EC Cruzeiro 16.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57%
25.2%
17.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.8%
24%
17%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brasil de Farroupilha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
EC Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brasil de Farroupilha than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Brasil de Farroupilha - EC Cruzeiro Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
11', 1 - 0, ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Ramon ⚽,
25', 1 - 2, Theobald C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
81', 1 - 3, Ramon ⚽,
Preview
Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Gaucho 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Relegation ~ Gaucho 3).
Recent matches Brasil de Farroupilha is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
EC Cruzeiro has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Brasil de Farroupilha could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Brasil de Farroupilha is a favorite.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Brasil de Farroupilha won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Brasil de Farroupilha won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.