Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - ROUND 9

Date: 18 June 2023, Sunday

Location: Estádio Bento Freitas (Pelotas)


	Brasil de Pelotas		Camboriú

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.1	3.9
	1.84	2.97	4.34
	1.83	2.88	4.2
	1.87	3.06	4.45
	1.87	3.1	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.13)	3.02 ↓ (5.5)	4.22 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brasil de Pelotas
48.8%

Draw
29.8%

Camboriú
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

16.2%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

15.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brasil de Pelotas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brasil de Pelotas's performance.

Camboriú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Camboriú might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brasil de Pelotas than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brasil de Pelotas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camboriú than the current prediction. (+19%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Camboriú could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Brasil de Pelotas - Camboriú Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Brasil de Pelotas will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Camboriú will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Recent matches Brasil de Pelotas is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Camboriú is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Brasil de Pelotas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Brasil de Pelotas is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Brasil de Pelotas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brasil de Pelotas
Brazilian Serie D
14.06.23	Hercílio Luz - Brasil de Pelotas	1:0 ✺
11.06.23	Brasil de Pelotas - Hercílio Luz	1:0 ✺
07.06.23	Camboriú - Brasil de Pelotas	0:2 ✺
04.06.23	Brasil de Pelotas - Aimoré	2:2 ✺
27.05.23	Caxias - Brasil de Pelotas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWWTL
- Camboriú FC
Brazilian Serie D
14.06.23	Camboriú - Caxias	2:1 ✺
10.06.23	Caxias - Camboriú	1:0 ✺
07.06.23	Camboriú - Brasil de Pelotas	0:2 ✺
03.06.23	São-Joseense - Camboriú	2:0 ✺
27.05.23	Hercílio Luz - Camboriú	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
07.06.23	Camboriú - Brasil de Pelotas	0:2

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