Match Info
BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 9Date: 16 June 2024, SundayLocation: Estádio Bento Freitas (Pelotas)
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 |
|
 |
|
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Brasil de Pelotas |
|
Hercílio Luz |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.15 |
2.85 |
3.25 |
|
 |
2.15 |
2.9 |
3.5 |
|
 |
2.21 |
2.82 |
3.6 |
|
 |
2.21 |
2.66 |
3.6 |
|
 |
2.1 |
2.8 |
3.4 |
|
 |
2.23 |
2.66 |
3.68 |
|
 |
2.15 |
2.9 |
3.5 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↓
(2.43) |
2.8 ↓
(2.95) |
3.5 ↑
(2.81) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Brasil de Pelotas
41.7% | Draw
32.4% | Hercílio Luz
25.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brasil de Pelotas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)Hercílio Luz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hercílio Luz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brasil de Pelotas than the current prediction. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hercílio Luz than the current prediction. (+5%)Brasil de Pelotas - Hercílio Luz Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+2', Marques M. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 76', 0 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 8). The game of competitors is shaky now. Hercílio Luz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days. Brasil de Pelotas will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Brasil de Pelotas won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2. Including matches at home between the teams Brasil de Pelotas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Serie D | | | 01.06.24 | Hercílio Luz - Brasil de Pelotas | 1:1 | | 14.06.23 | Hercílio Luz - Brasil de Pelotas | 1:0 | | 11.06.23 | Brasil de Pelotas - Hercílio Luz | 1:0 |
|
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