Match Info

Copa FGF - Round 8

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Bento Freitas (Pelotas)


	Brasil de Pelotas		EC Pelotas

	1	X	2
	2.62	2.58	2.88
	2.68	2.52	3.16	Watch
	2.62	2.67	2.8
	2.8	2.25	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.2)	2.51 ↓ (3.2)	2.96 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brasil de Pelotas
33.6%

Draw
36%

EC Pelotas
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

28.4%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

27.3%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brasil de Pelotas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brasil de Pelotas's form might have worsened.

EC Pelotas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brasil de Pelotas than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brasil de Pelotas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for EC Pelotas than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Brasil de Pelotas - EC Pelotas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+4', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45+6', 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa FGF (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa FGF (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Pelotas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Brasil de Pelotas could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brasil de Pelotas won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 0.6:0.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Brasil de Pelotas won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brasil de Pelotas
Brazilian Copa FGF
25.10.25	Brasil de Pelotas - Internacional 2	2:0 ✺
15.10.25	Aimoré - Brasil de Pelotas	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	Brasil de Pelotas - São Gabriel	9:0 ✺
24.09.25	Juventude 2 - Brasil de Pelotas	1:1 ✺
17.09.25	Brasil de Pelotas - Gaúcho	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWTT
- EC Pelotas
Brazilian Copa FGF
26.10.25	EC Pelotas - Juventude 2	7:0 ✺
19.10.25	Gaúcho - EC Pelotas	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	EC Pelotas - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	EC Pelotas - Internacional 2	5:0 ✺
20.09.25	Aimoré - EC Pelotas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
05.03.25	Brasil de Pelotas - EC Pelotas	1:0
02.03.25	EC Pelotas - Brasil de Pelotas	0:0
08.02.25	EC Pelotas - Brasil de Pelotas	0:0
05.04.21	Brasil de Pelotas - EC Pelotas	0:0
17.03.19	Brasil de Pelotas - EC Pelotas	2:1

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