Match Info

Date: 4 October 2020, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Brasiliense		Atlético de Alagoinhas

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.4	3.6
	1.8	3.6	3.65
	1.86	3.4	3.6
	1.92	3.52	3.79
	1.88	3.25	3.7
	1.89	3.58	3.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.22)	3.46 ↑ (3.3)	3.65 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brasiliense
48.8%

Draw
26.3%

Atlético de Alagoinhas
24.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.5%

27.3%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

23%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brasiliense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brasiliense's performance.

Atlético de Alagoinhas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético de Alagoinhas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brasiliense than the current prediction. (-14.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brasiliense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Alagoinhas than the current prediction. (+18%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético de Alagoinhas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Brasiliense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Brasiliense is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brasiliense FC
Brazilian Serie D
01.10.20	Bahia de Feira - Brasiliense	1:1 ✺
26.09.20	Gama - Brasiliense	2:1 ✺
20.09.20	Brasiliense - Caldense	3:1 ✺
13.09.20	Brasiliense - Tocantinópolis	4:0 ✺
06.09.20	Tocantinópolis - Brasiliense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TLWWL
- Atlético de Alagoinhas
Brazilian Serie D
01.10.20	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Palmas	3:0 ✺
26.09.20	Caldense - Atlético de Alagoinhas	0:3 ✺
19.09.20	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Gama	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
08.08.20	Bahia - Atlético de Alagoinhas	2:1 penalties ✺
05.08.20	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Bahia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWLLT

Brasiliense - Atlético de Alagoinhas

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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