Match Info

Besta deild Women - Championship Group - Round 3

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday


	Breiðablik		Throttur

	1	X	2
	1.28	5.50	6.75
	1.26	5.6	7.15	Watch
	1.31	6.45	6.33
	1.26	5.8	8.2	Watch
	1.29	6.35	6.25
	1.33	6.16	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.44)	5.98 ↑ (4.2)	7.01 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Breiðablik
71.5%

Draw
15.4%

Throttur
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

21%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

20.3%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Breiðablik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Breiðablik's performance.

Throttur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Breiðablik than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Breiðablik that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Throttur than the current prediction. (+4%)

Breiðablik - Throttur Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gudbjartsdottir H. (G) 16. Agustsdottir T. 7. Albertsdottir A. (C) 18. Arnadottir K. 8. Duong K. 14. Halldorsdottir H. 4. Karlsdottir E. H. 17. Tomasdottir K. 11. Ulfarsdottir U. 19. van Bemmel L. 3. Vidarsdottir E.	1. Swift M. (C) 27. Bergsdottir U. 7. Bjarnadottir B. F. 6. Bjorgvinsdottir R. 23. Bjornsdottir S. 10. Cousins K. 16. Eyjolfsdottir M. 11. Gunnlaugsdottir B. 5. Kujundzic J. 14. Lelii S. 21. Rollins K.
Substitutes
5. Einarsdottir O. 20. Haraldsdottir D. 12. Kane T. (G) 15. Kristjansdottir E. 10. Nielsdottir B. 28. Ros Magnusdottir A. 29. Sigurdardottir S. 52. Stefansdottir K.	19. Agustsdottir T. 77. Andreudottir B. N. 18. Antonsdottir K. 12. Ditta M. 22. Gudmunsdottir S. 4. Ingvarsdottir H. 8. Kjartansdottir A. 20. Thorsteindottir N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 4)
9', 0 - 1, Bjarnadottir B. F. ⚽, Gunnlaugsdottir B. (A),
19', 0 - 2, Lelii S. ⚽, Gunnlaugsdottir B. (A),
25', Albertsdottir A. 🟨,
26', 0 - 3, Bjarnadottir B. F. ⚽,
28', 1 - 3, Halldorsdottir H. ⚽, Duong K. (A),
42', 1 - 4, Lelii S. ⚽, Bergsdottir U. (A),
2nd Half (4 - 0)
63', 2 - 4, Arnadottir K. ⚽, Albertsdottir A. (A),
63', Lelii S. ↓, Agustsdottir T. ↑,
63', Gunnlaugsdottir B. ↓, Gudmunsdottir S. ↑,
73', Agustsdottir T. ↓, Nielsdottir B. ↑,
73', 3 - 4, Nielsdottir B. ⚽, Albertsdottir A. (A),
83', 4 - 4, Halldorsdottir H. ⚽, Albertsdottir A. (A),
90', 5 - 4, Halldorsdottir H. ⚽, van Bemmel L. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Breiðablik won 2.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Breiðablik may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Breiðablik enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Breiðablik has recorded 12 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 55:30 (averaging 2.8:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Breiðablik against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 25:12 goals (averaging 2.8:1.3 per game).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Breidablik W	21	15	1	5	57:27	30	46
5	Throttur W	21	7	5	9	36:37	-1	26

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Breiðablik UBK Women
UEFA Europa Cup Women
30.09.26	Czarni Sosnowiec - Breiðablik	1:0 ✺
Icelandic Besta deild Women
26.09.26	Vestmannaeyjar - Breiðablik	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Cup Women
23.09.26	Breiðablik - Czarni Sosnowiec	2:6 ✺
Icelandic Besta deild Women
17.09.26	Breiðablik - Grindavík Njarðvík	4:1 ✺
07.09.26	Throttur - Breiðablik	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWLWT
- Throttur Women
Icelandic Besta deild Women
27.09.26	Throttur - Stjarnan	5:1 ✺
18.09.26	Vestmannaeyjar - Throttur	4:3 ✺
Icelandic Cup Women
12.09.26	Grindavík Njarðvík - Throttur	1:2 ✺
Icelandic Besta deild Women
07.09.26	Throttur - Breiðablik	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Throttur - Thor Akureyri	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Besta deild Women
07.09.26	Throttur - Breiðablik	1:1
Icelandic Cup Women
16.05.26	Throttur - Breiðablik	3:2
Icelandic Besta deild Women
24.04.26	Breiðablik - Throttur	2:0
30.09.25	Throttur - Breiðablik	3:2
24.07.25	Breiðablik - Throttur	3:1
22.04.25	Throttur - Breiðablik	2:2
13.09.24	Throttur - Breiðablik	1:4

Breiðablik - Throttur: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide