Match Info

Promotion League

Date: 20 August 2025, Wednesday


	Breitenrain Bern		Lugano II

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.6	2.75	Watch
	2.2	3.5	2.68
	2.25	3.75	2.71
	1.71	3.86	4.31	Watch
	2.2	3.7	2.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.1)	3.68 ↑ (3.61)	3.02 ↑ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Breitenrain Bern
44.2%

Draw
25.1%

Lugano II
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

25.4%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

25%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Breitenrain Bern has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Lugano II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Breitenrain Bern than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano II than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Breitenrain Bern - Lugano II Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
27', 1 - 0, Obama P. ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, Sbai Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
62', 1 - 2, Gamba N. ⚽,
74', 2 - 2, Neto ⚽,
80', 2 - 3, Molino L. ⚽,
90+2', 🟥,

Preview

Breitenrain is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lugano II is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Breitenrain may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Lugano II has had a series of away games.

Breitenrain will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Breitenrain won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Breitenrain won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Lugano II - the odds 2.97 are the expected chance of winning is 30.91%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Breitenrain Bern
Swiss Cup
17.08.25	Breitenrain Bern - Thun	1:0 ✺
Swiss Promotion League
10.08.25	Biel-Bienne - Breitenrain Bern	3:1 ✺
02.08.25	Breitenrain Bern - Bavois	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
17.07.25	Langenthal - Breitenrain Bern	1:1 ✺
14.07.25	Breitenrain Bern - Biel-Bienne	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.5 WLWTW
- FC Lugano II
Swiss Promotion League
09.08.25	Lugano II - Kriens	1:1 ✺
02.08.25	Cham - Lugano II	6:0 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.25	Lecco - Lugano II	3:2 ✺
24.07.25	Mendrisio-Stabio - Lugano II	Canceled ✺
12.07.25	Collina dOro - Lugano II	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLL?L

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Promotion League
22.02.25	Lugano II - Breitenrain Bern	2:2
17.08.24	Breitenrain Bern - Lugano II	1:0
18.05.24	Breitenrain Bern - Lugano II	1:2
11.11.23	Lugano II - Breitenrain Bern	2:1

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