Match Info

Swiss Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 17 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Sportplatz Spitalacker (Bern)

Where to Watch on TV:


Switzerland	SRF 2, SRF 2


	Breitenrain Bern		Thun

	1	X	2
	7.5	4.5	1.4
	8.25	4.6	1.3
	7.3	4.75	1.36
	7.1	4.7	1.37
	6.51	3.51	1.57	Watch
	8.5	4.33	1.33
	7.58	4.55	1.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.53 ↓ (8.2)	4.42 ↓ (4.44)	1.39 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Breitenrain Bern
12.3%

Draw
21%

Thun
66.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.2%

20.6%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.7%

19.8%

71.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Breitenrain Bern has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Thun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Breitenrain Bern than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thun than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Breitenrain Bern - Thun Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Thun (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Breitenrain (2.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Breitenrain (votes: 1 - 50%). Thun (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', 1 - 0, Neto (Pen),

Preview

Breitenrain is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Thun is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Thun may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Thun is the clear favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Breitenrain won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 1:3).

Including home match between the teams, Breitenrain won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Breitenrain Bern
Swiss Promotion League
10.08.25	Biel-Bienne - Breitenrain Bern	3:1 ✺
02.08.25	Breitenrain Bern - Bavois	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
17.07.25	Langenthal - Breitenrain Bern	1:1 ✺
14.07.25	Breitenrain Bern - Biel-Bienne	3:0 ✺
09.07.25	Solothurn - Breitenrain Bern	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWTWW
- FC Thun
Swiss Super League
09.08.25	Luzern - Thun	1:2 ✺
03.08.25	Thun - Lausanne-Sport	2:1 ✺
27.07.25	Lugano - Thun	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Thun - Aarau	4:1 ✺
11.07.25	Lugano - Thun	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
20.01.18	Thun - Breitenrain Bern	3:0
Swiss Cup
23.08.14	Breitenrain Bern - Thun	2:3

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