Match Info

Promotion League

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Breitenrain Bern		Vevey

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.5	2.75
	2.15	3.55	2.78
	2.23	3.47	2.99
	2.16	3.6	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.1)	3.53 ↓ (3.65)	2.83 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Breitenrain Bern
42.1%

Draw
25.8%

Vevey
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

24.7%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

23.8%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Breitenrain Bern has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Vevey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Breitenrain Bern than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vevey than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Breitenrain Bern - Vevey Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Neto ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
73', 2 - 0, Gemperle N. ⚽,
76', 3 - 0, Arrivas P. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by Breitenrain have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Vevey is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Vevey may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Breitenrain has had a series of home games.

Recently, Vevey has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Breitenrain won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 3:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Breitenrain won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Breitenrain Bern
Swiss Promotion League
01.10.25	Kriens - Breitenrain Bern	5:1 ✺
27.09.25	Breitenrain Bern - Grand-Saconnex	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Breitenrain Bern - Cham	3:1 ✺
30.08.25	Breitenrain Bern - Lausanne II	1:0 ✺
20.08.25	Breitenrain Bern - Lugano II	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTWWL
- Vevey
Swiss Promotion League
24.09.25	Lausanne II - Vevey	2:1 ✺
17.09.25	Cham - Vevey	3:1 ✺
27.08.25	Vevey - Biel-Bienne	1:3 ✺
23.08.25	Lugano II - Vevey	0:0 ✺
09.08.25	Bavois - Vevey	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Promotion League
24.05.25	Breitenrain Bern - Vevey	5:3
16.11.24	Vevey - Breitenrain Bern	2:1

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