Match Info

Premier League - Round 19

Date: 14 June 2025, Saturday


	Brera Ilch		Khoromkhon

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.1	5	1.49
	3.94	5.56	1.41
	3.25	4.14	1.86	Watch
	3.44	5.81	1.59	Watch
	3.25	4.2	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 ↑ (3.15)	4.94 ↑ (4.25)	1.63 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brera Ilch
25.4%

Draw
18.5%

Khoromkhon
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

21.6%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

21.1%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brera Ilch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Khoromkhon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Khoromkhon's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brera Ilch than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Khoromkhon than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Khoromkhon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Brera Ilch - Khoromkhon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
6', 0 - 1, Otani S. ⚽,
11', 1 - 1, Blanc S. (Pen),
27', 1 - 2, Sattorov M. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 3, Otani S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
69', 1 - 4, Sattorov M. ⚽,
76', 1 - 5, Sattorov M. ⚽,
87', 1 - 6, Sattorov M. ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 7, ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 and 6)

Brera Ilch is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Khoromkhon's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Khoromkhon could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Brera Ilch won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Brera Ilch won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brera Ilch FC
Mongolian Premier League
06.06.25	Khovd - Brera Ilch	3:0 ✺
20.04.25	Brera Ilch - Khaan Khuns-Erchim	2:2 ✺
17.04.25	Brera Ilch - Khangarid	0:4 ✺
12.04.25	Hunters - Brera Ilch	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Brera Ilch - Ulaanbaatar	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTLTL
- Khoromkhon FC
Mongolian Premier League
10.06.25	Hunters - Khoromkhon	3:1 ✺
07.06.25	Khoromkhon - Ulaanbaatar	2:3 ✺
21.04.25	Falcons - Khoromkhon	5:1 ✺
17.04.25	Khoromkhon - Deren	0:2 ✺
11.04.25	Khangarid - Khoromkhon	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Mongolian Premier League
15.03.25	Khoromkhon - Brera Ilch	3:0
18.08.24	Brera Ilch - Khoromkhon	0:2

Brera Ilch - Khoromkhon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide