Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 2

Date: 24 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadio Mario Rigamonti (Brescia)

Referee: Galipo S. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Brescia		Cittadella

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.25	3.5	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.4
	2.15	3.1	3.5	Watch
	2.21	3.15	3.83
	2.17	3.15	3.67	Watch
	2.3	3.2	3
	2.22	3.18	3.49	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.46)	3.15 ↑ (3.14)	3.49 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brescia
43%

Draw
29.9%

Cittadella
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

30.2%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

30.7%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brescia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Cittadella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brescia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	21.4%	14.3%

Brescia - Cittadella Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Brescia will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Cittadella will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brescia: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lezzerini L. (G) 24. Dickmann L. 15. Cistana A. 28. Adorni D. 18. Jallow A. 23. Galazzi N. 25. Bisoli D. 6. Verreth M. 26. Bertagnoli M. 29. Borrelli G. 27. Olzer G.	36. Kastrati E. (G) 24. Carissoni L. 26. Pavan N. 4. Angeli M. 32. Masciangelo E. 8. Amatucci F. 5. Casolari F. 23. Branca S. (C) 16. Vita A. 21. Rabbi S. 11. Desogus J.
Substitutes
22. Andrenacci L. (G) 39. Besaggio M. 9. Bianchi F. 8. Bjarnason B. 16. Buhagiar T. 19. Corrado N. 21. Fogliata R. 7. Juric A. 33. Muca Z. 20. Nuamah P. 4. Paghera F. 32. Papetti A.	10. Cassano C. 19. D'Alessio F. 29. Djibril A. 9. Magrassi A. 78. Maniero L. (G) 7. Pandolfi L. 91. Ravasio M. 28. Rizza A. 2. Salvi A. 6. Sottini E. 18. Tessiore A.
Coaches
Maran R.	Gorini E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Angeli M. 🟨,
34', Pavan N. 🟨,
45', Adorni D. 🟨,
45+3', Bisoli D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bertagnoli M. ↓, Besaggio M. ↑,
59', Pavan N. 🟨,
62', Desogus J. ↓, Salvi A. ↑,
62', Masciangelo E. ↓, Sottini E. ↑,
64', 0 - 1, Carissoni L. ⚽,
65', Galazzi N. ↓, Juric A. ↑,
70', Olzer G. ↓, Bjarnason B. ↑,
70', Borrelli G. ↓, Corrado N. ↑,
73', Rabbi S. ↓, Ravasio M. ↑,
80', Kastrati E. 🟨,
84', Dickmann L. ↓, Bianchi F. ↑,
88', Branca S. ↓, D'Alessio F. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brescia won 1.

Brescia is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Cittadella is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Brescia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Brescia have a series of home games.

Recently Cittadella have a series of guest games.

Brescia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Brescia won 5 matches, drawn 10 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 29-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Brescia won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brescia Calcio
Italian Serie B
16.08.24	Brescia - Palermo	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
11.08.24	Brescia - Venezia	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
04.08.24	Brescia - Renate	2:2 ✺
01.08.24	Brescia - Genoa	2:0 ✺
27.07.24	Lumezzane - Brescia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWTWT
- AS Cittadella
Italian Serie B
17.08.24	Salernitana - Cittadella	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
09.08.24	Sassuolo - Cittadella	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Bassano Virtus - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
31.07.24	Cittadella - Legnago Salus	2:3 ✺
28.07.24	Virtus Verona - Cittadella	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
03.02.24	Brescia - Cittadella	2:0
04.11.23	Cittadella - Brescia	3:2
01.03.23	Cittadella - Brescia	0:0
08.10.22	Brescia - Cittadella	1:1
30.04.22	Cittadella - Brescia	1:0
19.12.21	Brescia - Cittadella	1:1
13.05.21	Cittadella - Brescia	1:0

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