Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 8

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore (Reggio Emilia)

Referee: Perri M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Sassuolo		Cittadella

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.7	4.75	Watch
	1.68	3.7	4.8
	1.68	3.75	4.75	Watch
	1.73	3.81	5.27
	1.75	3.74	4.72	Watch
	1.65	3.7	4.8
	1.73	3.74	4.86	Watch
	1.68	3.7	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.84)	3.73 ↑ (3.45)	4.86 ↑ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sassuolo
55.4%

Draw
25.2%

Cittadella
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

27.3%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

26.7%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sassuolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Cittadella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Sassuolo - Cittadella Predictions

Users Predictions: Sassuolo will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Moldovan H. (G) 23. Toljan J. 26. Odenthal C. 19. Romagna F. 3. Doig J. 8. Ghion A. 11. Boloca D. 42. Thorstvedt K. 7. Volpato C. 9. Mulattieri S. 45. Lauriente A.	78. Maniero L. (G) 24. Carissoni L. 26. Pavan N. 4. Angeli M. 32. Masciangelo E. 8. Amatucci F. 5. Casolari F. 23. Branca S. (C) 16. Vita A. 91. Ravasio M. 11. Desogus J.
Substitutes
10. Berardi D. 29. Caligara F. 40. Iannoni E. 35. Lipani L. 44. Miranda K. 24. Moro L. 80. Muharemovic T. 14. Obiang P. 17. Paz Y. 77. Pierini N. 91. Russo F. 12. Satalino G. (G)	10. Cassano C. 64. Cecchetto A. 19. D'Alessio F. 29. Djibril A. 36. Kastrati E. (G) 9. Magrassi A. 7. Pandolfi L. 35. Piccinini S. 21. Rabbi S. 28. Rizza A. 2. Salvi A. 20. Voltan D.
Coaches
Grosso F.	Gorini E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Mulattieri S. ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, Vita A. ⚽, Ravasio M. (A),
34', Vita A. 🟨,
41', Carissoni L. 🟨,
2nd Half (5 - 0)
51', Pavan N. 🟨,
55', 2 - 1, Volpato C. ⚽,
58', Desogus J. ↓, Rabbi S. ↑,
63', 3 - 1, Thorstvedt K. (Pen),
65', Ghion A. ↓, Obiang P. ↑,
65', Volpato C. ↓, Pierini N. ↑,
68', 4 - 1, Pierini N. ⚽, Lauriente A. (A),
72', 5 - 1, Lauriente A. (Pen),
73', Ravasio M. ↓, Pandolfi L. ↑,
73', Branca S. ↓, Cassano C. ↑,
74', Lauriente A. ↓, Berardi D. ↑,
81', Casolari F. ↓, Djibril A. ↑,
81', Masciangelo E. ↓, Salvi A. ↑,
83', 6 - 1, Thorstvedt K. ⚽, Berardi D. (A),
84', Mulattieri S. ↓, Moro L. ↑,
85', Boloca D. ↓, Lipani L. ↑,
88', Rabbi S. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).

Sassuolo is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Cittadella is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cittadella could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sassuolo is a favorite.

There will not play in Sassuolo: Berardi D. (Knee Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sassuolo won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.4:0.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Sassuolo won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:2 (average 2.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Sassuolo
Italian Serie B
28.09.24	Sassuolo - Spezia	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
24.09.24	Lecce - Sassuolo	0:2 ✺
Italian Serie B
21.09.24	Nuova Cosenza - Sassuolo	0:1 ✺
15.09.24	Carrarese - Sassuolo	0:2 ✺
31.08.24	Sassuolo - Cremonese	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TWWWL
- AS Cittadella
Italian Serie B
27.09.24	Cittadella - Frosinone	1:2 ✺
22.09.24	Mantova - Cittadella	1:0 ✺
14.09.24	Cittadella - Catanzaro	0:0 ✺
31.08.24	Modena - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
27.08.24	Cittadella - Pisa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia
09.08.24	Sassuolo - Cittadella	2:1
21.08.14	Sassuolo - Cittadella	4:1
Italian Serie B
16.03.13	Sassuolo - Cittadella	1:0
20.10.12	Cittadella - Sassuolo	1:0
31.01.12	Cittadella - Sassuolo	N/A

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