Match Info

Date: 14 May 2022, Saturday


	Brežice		Bilje

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.25	2.25
	2.75	3.4	2.2
	2.75	3.2	2.21
	2.86	3.45	2.28
	2.9	3.1	2.15
	2.88	3.42	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↓ (3.75)	3.3 ↓ (3.41)	2.22 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brežice
32%

Draw
27.3%

Bilje
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.4%

26.7%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

28.2%

51.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brežice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brežice's performance.

Bilje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bilje might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brežice than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brežice that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bilje than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bilje could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Brežice - Bilje Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone 2. SNL (Relegation Group) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. SNL (Championship Group)).

Recent matches Brežice is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bilje is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bilje will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Brežice won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Brežice won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Brežice
Slovenian 2 SNL
07.05.22	Triglav - Brežice	2:3 ✺
04.05.22	Brežice - Rudar Velenje	1:2 ✺
24.04.22	Primorje - Brežice	4:0 ✺
15.04.22	Brežice - Drava Ptuj	7:1 ✺
10.04.22	Dob - Brežice	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.2 WLLWL
- ND Bilje
Slovenian 2 SNL
08.05.22	Krško - Bilje	0:1 ✺
04.05.22	Bilje - Triglav	0:0 ✺
23.04.22	Rudar Velenje - Bilje	0:1 ✺
16.04.22	Bilje - Primorje	0:3 ✺
10.04.22	Drava Ptuj - Bilje	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 2 SNL
30.10.21	Bilje - Brežice	2:0
20.03.21	Brežice - Bilje	1:3
08.09.18	Brežice - Bilje	2:1

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