Match Info

2. SNL - Round 27

Date: 7 May 2025, Wednesday


	Drava Ptuj		Bilje

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.9	3.4	2.17	Watch
	2.78	3.54	2.25
	2.84	3.57	2.31	Watch
	2.85	3.4	2.2
	2.9	3.4	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↓ (3.68)	3.46 ↓ (3.57)	2.22 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Drava Ptuj
32.2%

Draw
26.5%

Bilje
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

25.7%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

24.9%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Drava Ptuj has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Drava Ptuj's performance.

Bilje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bilje might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Drava Ptuj than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Drava Ptuj that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bilje than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bilje could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Drava Ptuj - Bilje Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
68', 1 - 1, ⚽,
70', 2 - 1, ⚽,
85', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Drava won 0.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Bilje may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bilje is considered a favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Drava won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:17. (average 1.1:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Drava won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Drava Ptuj
Slovenian 2 SNL
04.05.25	Tabor Sežana - Drava Ptuj	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Drava Ptuj - Slovan Ljubljana	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	Drava Ptuj - Bistrica	0:4 ✺
13.04.25	Triglav - Drava Ptuj	4:0 ✺
06.04.25	Drava Ptuj - Rudar Velenje	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTLLW
- ND Bilje
Slovenian 2 SNL
03.05.25	Bilje - Bistrica	0:0 ✺
27.04.25	Triglav - Bilje	7:4 ✺
19.04.25	Bilje - Rudar Velenje	0:1 ✺
12.04.25	Brinje-Grosuplje - Bilje	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Bilje - Beltinci	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 2 SNL
26.10.24	Bilje - Drava Ptuj	3:0
10.04.22	Drava Ptuj - Bilje	0:1
26.09.21	Bilje - Drava Ptuj	6:2
05.09.20	Bilje - Drava Ptuj	3:2
05.10.19	Bilje - Drava Ptuj	3:0
24.11.18	Bilje - Drava Ptuj	1:1
11.08.18	Drava Ptuj - Bilje	3:0

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