Match Info

Date: 20 November 2021, Saturday


	Brežice		Ilirija Ljubljana

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.4	2.2
	2.85	3.55	2.18
	2.7	3.3	2.19
	2.8	3.52	2.29
	2.86	3.3	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.27)	3.41 ↑ (3.24)	2.23 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brežice
32.7%

Draw
26.6%

Ilirija Ljubljana
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

27.9%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

19.9%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brežice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brežice's form might have worsened.

Ilirija Ljubljana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ilirija Ljubljana's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brežice than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilirija Ljubljana than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Brežice - Ilirija Ljubljana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone 2. SNL (Relegation Group) and 12 in the zone 2. SNL (Relegation Group)).

Brežice is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ilirija is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Brežice won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Brežice won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Brežice
Slovenian 2 SNL
13.11.21	Fužinar Ravne - Brežice	0:0 ✺
07.11.21	Brežice - Krško	0:0 ✺
30.10.21	Bilje - Brežice	2:0 ✺
23.10.21	Brežice - Triglav	1:1 ✺
16.10.21	Rudar Velenje - Brežice	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 TTLTL
- Ilirija Ljubljana
Slovenian 2 SNL
13.11.21	Ilirija Ljubljana - Bilje	0:0 ✺
06.11.21	Ilirija Ljubljana - Triglav	0:2 ✺
30.10.21	Rudar Velenje - Ilirija Ljubljana	1:2 ✺
23.10.21	Ilirija Ljubljana - Primorje	0:1 ✺
15.10.21	Drava Ptuj - Ilirija Ljubljana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 2 SNL
08.08.21	Ilirija Ljubljana - Brežice	2:2
04.05.19	Brežice - Ilirija Ljubljana	3:1
13.10.18	Ilirija Ljubljana - Brežice	1:1

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