The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Brežice 52.6%
Draw 25%
Krško 22.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
45.5%
26.1%
28.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.8%
24.8%
27%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brežice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brežice's performance.
Krško has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Krško might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brežice than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krško than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Brežice - Krško Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, ⚽,
34', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
72', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 16th in the Relegation and 13th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brežice won 0.
The recent form of both sides has fallen below expectations.
Brežice could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Brežice is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Brežice has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:14 (averaging 0.7:2.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Brežice against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 1:3 goals (averaging 0.3:1 per game).