Match Info

Serie D - Group C - Round 18

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Brian Lignano		Calvi Noale

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.2	2.7
	2.25	3.2	2.78
	2.31	3.32	2.79	Watch
	2.31	3.22	2.79
	2.33	3.25	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.3)	3.24 ↓ (3.33)	2.76 ↑ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brian Lignano
39.4%

Draw
27.9%

Calvi Noale
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

27.2%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

28.8%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Brian Lignano have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Calvi Noale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brian Lignano than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calvi Noale than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Brian Lignano - Calvi Noale Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Barbana R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 2 - 0, Tarko D. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 12).

Brian Lignano has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Calvi Noale is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Calvi Noale may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Brian Lignano won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 2.5:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Calvi Noale	6	2	2	2	5:5	0	8
18	Brian Lignano	6	1	0	5	7:14	-7	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Brian Lignano
Italian Serie D - Group C
20.12.25	Brian Lignano - Adriese	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Bassano Virtus - Brian Lignano	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Brian Lignano - Vigasio	0:0 ✺
30.11.25	Portogruaro Summaga - Brian Lignano	2:3 ✺
23.11.25	Brian Lignano - Mestre	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LTTWW
- FC Calvi Noale
Italian Serie D - Group C
21.12.25	Calvi Noale - Bassano Virtus	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Campodarsego - Calvi Noale	1:3 ✺
07.12.25	Calvi Noale - Portogruaro Summaga	2:0 ✺
30.11.25	Adriese - Calvi Noale	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Calvi Noale - Este	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group C
07.09.25	Calvi Noale - Brian Lignano	1:4
05.01.25	Calvi Noale - Brian Lignano	4:1

Brian Lignano - Calvi Noale: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide