The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Calvi Noale 32.1%
Draw 27.3%
Este 40.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.8%
26.4%
38.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.2%
26.7%
38.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Calvi Noale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
Este has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calvi Noale than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Este than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Calvi Noale - Este Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 1)
57', 0 - 1, Aloia D. ⚽,
59', 1 - 1, Vranic A. (Pen),
74', 2 - 1, Vranic A. ⚽,
76', 3 - 1, Compaore A. (Pen),
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group C (Play Out: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group C (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Calvi Noale won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Calvi Noale won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.6:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Calvi Noale won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.3).