The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Calvi Noale 37.7%
Draw 30.5%
Este 31.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
34.3%
31.4%
34.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.2%
32.4%
35.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Calvi Noale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
Este has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calvi Noale than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Este than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Calvi Noale - Este Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', 0 - 1, Gonella P. ⚽,
90+4', 🟥,
Preview
A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 15th in the Serie D - Group C (Play Out: ) and 10th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Calvi Noale won 2.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Este may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Este has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Calvi Noale has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:12 (averaging 0.9:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Calvi Noale against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 4:6 goals (averaging 0.8:1.2 per game).
Watch
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