The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Brighton & Hove Albion 14.3%
Draw 19.4%
Chelsea 66.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
12.9%
18.2%
69%
Our Initial ML Estimation
12.4%
17.5%
71.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brighton & Hove Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
Chelsea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chelsea could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Brighton & Hove Albion - Chelsea Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
32. Baggaley S. (G) 3. Minami M. 18. Hayes C. 2. Vanegas M. 19. Olislagers M. 8. Symonds M. (C) 15. Noordam N. 27. McLauchlan R. 6. Kafaji R. 21. Haley M. 11. Seike K.
1. Peng L. (G) 22. Bronze L. 4. Bright M. (C) 16. Girma N. 17. Baltimore S. 30. Walsh K. 2. Carpenter E. 8. Cuthbert E. 10. James L. 12. Thompson A. 33. Beever-Jones A.
Substitutes
61. Balmer M. 22. Camacho C. 16. Carabali J. 64. Gay E. 14. Kirby F. 46. Martin E. 25. Poulter H. (G) 33. Rule C. 29. Tsunoda F.
21. Charles N. 27. Jean-Francois O. 19. Kaneryd J. 18. Kaptein W. 20. Kerr S. 9. Macario C. 6. Nusken S. 11. Reiten G. 38. Spencer R. (G)
Coaches
Vidosic D.
Bompastor S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
42', 0 - 1, Baltimore S. ⚽, Thompson A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', James L. ↓, Kaptein W. ↑,
46', Beever-Jones A. ↓, Kerr S. ↑,
51', 0 - 2, Hayes C. (Own goal),
59', Kafaji R. ↓, Kirby F. ↑,
65', Haley M. 🟨,
67', Baltimore S. 🟨,
67', McLauchlan R. ↓, Rule C. ↑,
73', 0 - 3, Thompson A. ⚽, Kerr S. (A),
80', Bronze L. ↓, Charles N. ↑,
80', Baltimore S. ↓, Kaneryd J. ↑,
80', Thompson A. ↓, Reiten G. ↑,
81', Symonds M. ↓, Tsunoda F. ↑,
81', Haley M. ↓, Camacho C. ↑,
90+2', Walsh K. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ Third stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brighton & Hove won 0.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Brighton & Hove may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Chelsea is the undisputed favorite.
There will not play in Brighton & Hove: Agyemang M.
(Knee Injury)
Masaka A.
(Knee Injury)
Rayner R.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Chelsea: Aspin B.
(Knee Injury)
Buchanan K.
(Knee Injury)
Hampton H.
(Thigh Injury)
Ramirez M.
(Thigh Injury)
There are questionable in Brighton & Hove: Heron T.
(Injury)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Brighton & Hove won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 11:30. (average 0.8:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Brighton & Hove won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:13. (average 0.4:1.9).