Match Info

Champions League Women - League phase - Round 4

Date: 20 November 2025, Thursday

Location: Stamford Bridge (London)

Referee: Olofsson T. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, SupeSport ESPN 1
Albania	Disney+
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	ESPN 2, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports
Austria	Disney+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Disney+
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Disney+
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Disney+
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Disney+
Denmark	Disney+
Estonia	Disney+
Finland	Disney+
France	Disney+
Greece	Disney+
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Hungary	Disney+
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Italy	Disney+
Kazakhstan	Disney+
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Disney+
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Mexico	TVC Deportes
Netherlands	Disney+
Nigeria	SupeSport ESPN 1
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean, ESPN Norte
Norway	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Disney+
Portugal	Disney+
Romania	Disney+
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Disney+
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN
South-america	ESPN 2 South
Spain	3Cat, Disney+, TV3, TV3
Sweden	Disney+
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Ukraine	Disney+, Suspilne Sport
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport, BBC Two, Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter


	Chelsea		Barcelona

	1	X	2
	5.75	6.25	1.38
	6.4	5.9	1.32
	4.8	4.62	1.52
	4.64	5.00	1.53	Watch
	6.61	5.4	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.64 ↑ (4.64)	5.43 ↑ (5)	1.41 ↓ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelsea
16.6%

Draw
17.2%

Barcelona
66.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.2%

18.7%

61.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.7%

18.2%

62.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelsea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Barcelona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barcelona's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.7%	26.7%	66.7%

Chelsea - Barcelona Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Chelsea will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Barcelona will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barcelona: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Barcelona will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Peng L. (G) 22. Bronze L. 14. Bjorn N. 16. Girma N. 17. Baltimore S. 30. Walsh K. 2. Carpenter E. 18. Kaptein W. 8. Cuthbert E. (C) 12. Thompson A. 33. Beever-Jones A.	13. Coll C. (G) 22. Batlle O. 2. Paredes I. 4. Leon M. 24. Brugts E. 14. Bonmati A. 5. Aleixandri L. 11. Putellas A. (C) 10. Graham C. 17. Pajor E. 9. Pina C.
Substitutes
4. Bright M. 5. Buurman V. 21. Charles N. 23. Hamano M. 10. James L. 27. Jean-Francois O. 19. Kaneryd J. 9. Macario C. 6. Nusken S. 32. Potter A. 38. Spencer R. (G)	23. Camara A. 28. Cano A. 35. Fenger M. 1. Font G. (G) 37. Font M. (G) 19. Lopez V. 43. Martinez C. J. 18. Nazareth K. 6. Schertenleib S. 16. Serrajordi C.
Coaches
Bompastor S.	Romeu P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Carpenter E. ⚽, Beever-Jones A. (A),
24', 1 - 1, Pajor E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Brugts E. ↓, Camara A. ↑,
72', Beever-Jones A. ↓, Macario C. ↑,
74', Graham C. ↓, Lopez V. ↑,
87', Putellas A. ↓, Schertenleib S. ↑,
87', Pina C. ↓, Nazareth K. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 1.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Recently, Barcelona has had a series of home games.

In this match, Barcelona is considered a favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:17. (average 0.6:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Chelsea won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:11. (average 0.3:2.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chelsea LFC
English WSL
16.11.25	Liverpool LFC - Chelsea	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
11.11.25	St. Pölten - Chelsea	0:6 ✺
English WSL
08.11.25	Arsenal LFC - Chelsea	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Chelsea - London City Lionesses	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
15.10.25	Chelsea - Paris FC	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TWTWW
- FC Barcelona Women
Spanish Liga F Women
15.11.25	Barcelona - Real Madrid	4:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
12.11.25	Barcelona - Leuven	3:0 ✺
Spanish Liga F Women
09.11.25	Barcelona - Deportivo A Coruña	8:0 ✺
02.11.25	Real Sociedad - Barcelona	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Barcelona - Granada	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League Women
27.04.25	Chelsea - Barcelona	1:4
20.04.25	Barcelona - Chelsea	4:1
27.04.24	Chelsea - Barcelona	0:2
20.04.24	Barcelona - Chelsea	0:1
27.04.23	Barcelona - Chelsea	1:1
22.04.23	Chelsea - Barcelona	0:1
16.05.21	Chelsea - Barcelona	0:4

Chelsea - Barcelona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide