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Current Win Probability
Bristol City 43.8%
Draw 24.4%
Southampton 31.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.9%
25.2%
25.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bristol City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bristol City's form might have worsened.
Southampton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Southampton's recent form is better than expected.
Bristol City - Southampton Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bentley F. (G) 12. Apostolakis A. 23. Aspin B. 3. Lawley G. 20. Morgan E. 10. Lindstrom L. 5. Ingle S. 7. Robinson K. 16. Syme E. (C) 19. Farrugia M. 9. Hardy R.
1. Moloney G. (G) 23. Collett M. 5. Goddard A. 3. Mott M. 2. Brown R. 17. McInnes L. 7. Brazil E. 4. Bashford M. 8. Peplow C. 9. Harries E. (C) 18. Jupp F.
Substitutes
14. Bissell E. 13. Brzykcy L. (G) 21. Dafeur M. 45. Hebard I. 40. McDonald N. 17. McSheffrey H. (G) 18. Meena M. 24. Shore E. 15. Wos O.
12. Edwards M. 15. Murphy N. 11. Nicoll A. 30. Philps J. 27. Rae S. 26. Tucker R. 6. Wade E.
Coaches
Healy C.
Parker S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Jupp F. ⚽, Brazil E. (A),
6', Goddard A. 🟨,
18', Farrugia M. 🟨,
30', Peplow C. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Harries E. ↓, Nicoll A. ↑,
46', Peplow C. ↓, Rae S. ↑,
48', Morgan E. 🟨,
56', 1 - 1, Lindstrom L. ⚽,
69', Farrugia M. ↓, Bissell E. ↑,
76', Hardy R. 🟨,
79', 2 - 1, Ingle S. ⚽, Morgan E. (A),
81', Brown R. ↓, Murphy N. ↑,
84', Jupp F. ↓, Edwards M. ↑,
88', Morgan E. ↓, McDonald N. ↑,
90', Robinson K. 🟨,
90+3', Edwards M. 🟨,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 8th and 4th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 2.
Bristol City is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Southampton has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Southampton may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Bristol City has faced a series of away games on the road.
Bristol City is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Bristol City has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:8 (averaging 0.9:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Bristol City against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 4:5 goals (averaging 0.8:1 per game).