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Current Win Probability
Bristol City 41.8%
Draw 25.8%
Southampton 32.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
45%
26%
29%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.2%
25.4%
28.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bristol City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
Southampton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (-4%)
Bristol City - Southampton Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bentley F. (G) 3. Lawley G. 9. Hardy R. 10. Lindstrom L. 5. Ingle S. 16. Syme E. (C) 7. Robinson K. 12. Apostolakis A. 23. Aspin B. 40. McDonald N. 18. Meena M.
1. Moloney G. (G) 2. Brown R. 3. Mott M. 5. Goddard A. 23. Collett M. 17. McInnes L. 8. Peplow C. 7. Brazil E. 4. Bashford M. 18. Jupp F. 9. Harries E. (C)
Substitutes
14. Bissell E. 13. Brzykcy L. (G) 21. Dafeur M. 19. Farrugia M. 17. McSheffrey H. (G) 20. Morgan E. 15. Wos O.
28. Archibald J. 33. Bolton S. 12. Edwards M. 11. Ferguson A. 15. Murphy N. 27. Rae S. 13. Santos A. (G) 26. Tucker R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Harries E. ⚽, McInnes L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Peplow C. ↓, Edwards M. ↑,
46', Ingle S. ↓, Dafeur M. ↑,
59', 1 - 1, Robinson K. ⚽, Hardy R. (A),
60', McDonald N. ↓, Morgan E. ↑,
60', Hardy R. ↓, Farrugia M. ↑,
61', Mott M. 🟨,
63', Harries E. ↓, Ferguson A. ↑,
63', Jupp F. ↓, Archibald J. ↑,
64', Brazil E. ↓, Tucker R. ↑,
75', McInnes L. ↓, Rae S. ↑,
78', Robinson K. ↓, Bissell E. ↑,
78', Aspin B. ↓, Wos O. ↑,
90+1', Brown R. 🟨,
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, Brown R. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Syme E. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Collett M. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Bissell E. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Goddard A. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Lindstrom L. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Mott M. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Dafeur M. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Bashford M. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Farrugia M. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 3.
Bristol City has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Southampton is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Bristol City is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Bristol City has recorded 5 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:9 (averaging 1:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Bristol City against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 6:6 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).
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Bentley F. (G) 
Lindstrom L. 
Ingle S. 
Apostolakis A. 
Moloney G. (G) 
Brown R. 
Brzykcy L. (G) 
Dafeur M. 
Farrugia M. 
Wos O. 
Santos A. (G) 
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