Match Info

Professional Development League

Date: 5 May 2025, Monday


	Bristol City U21		Birmingham City U21

	1	X	2
	1.52	4.8	4.3
	1.53	5.09	4.37
	1.57	4.95	4.42	Watch
	1.6	4.94	4.16
	1.52	4.8	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.63)	4.92 ↑ (4.65)	4.31 ↑ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bristol City U21
59.7%

Draw
18.8%

Birmingham City U21
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

19.7%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

18.9%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol City U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Birmingham City U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol City U21 than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City U21 than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Bristol City U21 - Birmingham City U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Havenhand K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 1 - 1, Churchley K. ⚽,
52', 2 - 1, Rose M. ⚽,

Preview

Recent form of Bristol City U21 has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Birmingham U21's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Birmingham U21 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bristol City U21 is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bristol City U21 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Bristol City U21 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bristol City U21
English Professional Development League
29.04.25	Fleetwood Town U21 - Bristol City U21	2:1 ✺
23.04.25	Bristol City U21 - Millwall U21	2:2 ✺
18.04.25	Bristol City U21 - Swansea City U21	3:4 ✺
14.04.25	Bristol City U21 - Wigan Athletic U21	4:2 ✺
04.04.25	Bournemouth U21 - Bristol City U21	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTLWL
- Birmingham City U21
English Professional Development League
02.05.25	Peterborough United U21 - Birmingham City U21	2:4 ✺
28.04.25	Birmingham City U21 - Swansea City U21	1:5 ✺
15.04.25	Charlton Athletic U21 - Birmingham City U21	3:1 ✺
11.04.25	Fleetwood Town U21 - Birmingham City U21	0:3 ✺
07.04.25	Birmingham City U21 - Bournemouth U21	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Professional Development League
28.08.23	Birmingham City U21 - Bristol City U21	3:0
30.08.22	Bristol City U21 - Birmingham City U21	0:0

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