Match Info

ENGLAND: Professional Development League

Date: 14 May 2024, Tuesday


	Bristol City U21		Fleetwood Town U21

	1	X	2
	1.51	4.6	4.2
	1.5	4.75	4.5
	1.52	5.08	4.34
	1.53	5.08	4.26
	1.53	5	4
	1.52	4.66	4.79
	1.56	4.8	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.76)	4.85 ↑ (4.23)	4.3 ↑ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bristol City U21
59.9%

Draw
18.8%

Fleetwood Town U21
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

21.5%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

21.5%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol City U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bristol City U21's performance.

Fleetwood Town U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fleetwood Town U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol City U21 than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bristol City U21 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleetwood Town U21 than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fleetwood Town U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bristol City U21 - Fleetwood Town U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Murphy A. ⚽,
41', 2 - 0, Thomas O. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
80', 3 - 0, Hutton C. ⚽,
84', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Recent matches Bristol City U21 is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fleetwood U21 is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fleetwood U21 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Bristol City U21 will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bristol City U21
English Professional Development League
07.05.24	Bristol City U21 - Charlton Athletic U21	4:2 ✺
27.04.24	Burnley U21 - Bristol City U21	2:3 ✺
23.04.24	Bristol City U21 - Hull City U21	3:1 ✺
20.04.24	Swansea City U21 - Bristol City U21	3:1 ✺
16.04.24	Barnsley U21 - Bristol City U21	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWLL
- Fleetwood Town U21
English Professional Development League
03.05.24	Bournemouth U21 - Fleetwood Town U21	5:0 ✺
30.04.24	Fleetwood Town U21 - Colchester United U21	0:3 ✺
22.04.24	Crewe Alexandra U21 - Fleetwood Town U21	1:4 ✺
18.04.24	Fleetwood Town U21 - Millwall U21	2:3 ✺
12.04.24	Peterborough United U21 - Fleetwood Town U21	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLWLL

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