Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 12

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Parque de Jogos do Brito SC (Guimarães)


	Brito		Ribeira Brava

	1	X	2
	1.24	4.65	11.5
	1.2	5.08	10.86
	1.69	3.35	4.96	Watch
	1.25	4.5	11
	1.24	4.9	11
	1.6	3	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.67)	4.25 ↑ (3.3)	8.97 ↑ (4.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brito
67.8%

Draw
21.9%

Ribeira Brava
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

27.4%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

26.4%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brito's performance.

Ribeira Brava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ribeira Brava might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brito than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brito that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ribeira Brava than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ribeira Brava could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Brito - Ribeira Brava Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 🟥,
85', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90+4', 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by Brito have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ribeira Brava's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Ribeira Brava may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Brito is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Brito	4	1	0	3	4:8	-4	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brito SC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
22.03.26	Vilaverdense - Brito	0:2 ✺
15.03.26	Brito - Camacha	4:2 ✺
08.03.26	Machico - Brito	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Brito - Bragança	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Brito - São Martinho	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWLWW
- CD Ribeira Brava
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
25.03.26	Limianos - Ribeira Brava	3:0 ✺
22.03.26	Ribeira Brava - Vianense	1:5 ✺
15.03.26	Tirsense - Ribeira Brava	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Ribeira Brava - Chaves B	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Ribeira Brava - Desportivo Monção	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLTT

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