Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 22

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Abel Alves de Figueiredo (Santo Tirso)


	Tirsense		Ribeira Brava

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.05	6.3
	1.48	3.72	6.12
	1.49	3.81	6.37	Watch
	1.44	3.6	6.5
	1.44	3.75	7.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.43)	3.79 ↓ (4.08)	6.48 ↑ (6.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tirsense
62.2%

Draw
23.9%

Ribeira Brava
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

22.1%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

20.8%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tirsense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Ribeira Brava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tirsense than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ribeira Brava than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Tirsense - Ribeira Brava Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
79', 🟥,
90+7', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Tirsense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Tirsense is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tirsense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Tirsense	4	3	0	1	7:2	5	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tirsense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
08.03.26	Celoricense - Tirsense	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Tirsense - Vilaverdense	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Camacha - Tirsense	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	Tirsense - Machico	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Brito - Tirsense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWTTT
- CD Ribeira Brava
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
08.03.26	Ribeira Brava - Chaves B	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Ribeira Brava - Desportivo Monção	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Mirandela - Ribeira Brava	0:1 ✺
08.02.26	Bragança - Ribeira Brava	3:1 ✺
31.01.26	Ribeira Brava - São Martinho	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
08.11.25	Ribeira Brava - Tirsense	1:1

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