Match Info

Date: 11 December 2021, Saturday


	Briton Ferry Llansawel		Undy Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.14	6.8	9.6
	1.12	7.39	11.52
	1.14	7.4	12.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.13 ↓ (1.37)	7.2 ↑ (4.78)	11.21 ↑ (5.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Briton Ferry Llansawel
79.5%

Draw
12.5%

Undy Athletic
8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.9%

18.6%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

77.7%

15.5%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Briton Ferry Llansawel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Briton Ferry Llansawel's performance.

Undy Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Undy Athletic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Briton Ferry Llansawel than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Undy Athletic than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Undy Athletic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Briton Ferry is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Undy is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Briton Ferry is certain favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Briton Ferry won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Briton Ferry Llansawel
Welsh Cymru South
04.12.21	Llantwit Major - Briton Ferry Llansawel	0:1 ✺
19.11.21	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Llantwit Major	3:4 ✺
06.11.21	Undy Athletic - Briton Ferry Llansawel	0:4 ✺
29.10.21	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Taffs Well AFC	5:0 ✺
23.10.21	Carmarthen Town - Briton Ferry Llansawel	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWWT
- Undy Athletic
Welsh Cymru South
04.12.21	Undy Athletic - Cwmbran Celtic	3:4 ✺
20.11.21	Cwmbran Celtic - Undy Athletic	1:2 ✺
06.11.21	Undy Athletic - Briton Ferry Llansawel	0:4 ✺
30.10.21	Swansea University - Undy Athletic	2:1 ✺
22.10.21	Risca United - Undy Athletic	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
06.11.21	Undy Athletic - Briton Ferry Llansawel	0:4

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