The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Brusaporto 22.7%
Draw 25.3%
Chievo 52%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.8%
27.6%
42.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.5%
27.3%
43%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brusaporto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brusaporto's form might have worsened.
Chievo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chievo's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brusaporto than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brusaporto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chievo than the current prediction. (-9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chievo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Brusaporto - Chievo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Martic M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
72', Daffara M. 🟥,
80', 1 - 1, D'Antoni R. (Penalty Awarded),
90+2', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Brusaporto has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Chievo shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Brusaporto may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Chievo has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Chievo holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Brusaporto has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:1 (averaging 1.5:0.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Brusaporto against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:1 goals.
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