Match Info

Serie C - Second stage - Round 6

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio Augusto Bauer (Brusque) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Brazil	15:00	SportyNet


	Brusque		Paysandu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.10	3.20	2.95
	2.20	3.10	2.95	Watch
	2.38	2.82	2.62
	2.35	3.29	2.94	Watch
	2.30	2.75	2.55
	2.18	3.36	3.21	Watch
	2.13	3.30	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2.12)	3.12 ↓ (3.2)	2.9 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Brusque
40.2%

Draw
28.8%

Paysandu
31%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.4%

28.1%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

27.2%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brusque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Paysandu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Brusque - Paysandu Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Brusque will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matheus Nogueira (G) 17. Adrianinho 5. Bernardo 4. Cipriano 7. Gazao 2. Jeferson (C) 3. Joao Maistro 10. Joao Pedro 9. Marlyson 11. Petterson Novaes 15. Rafael Milhorim	1. Jean Drosny (G) 14. Bruno Bispo 8. Caio Mello 15. Castro 2. Edilson 9. Italo Carvalho 75. Kleiton Pego 22. Lucas Rodrigues 10. Marcinho (C) 80. Pablo 44. Pedro Carrerette
Substitutes
18. Alvaro 20. Ariel 21. Clinton 16. Davi Gabriel 8. Jonatan Lucca 19. Macario 12. Paulo Gianezini (G) 24. Pedro Martins 22. Pedro Medeiros 6. Raimar 13. Renan 14. Ryan Santos	31. Bonifazi F. 23. Brian Macapa 18. Eduardo 3. Gustavo Henrique 99. Lucas Cardoso 41. Marcao (G) 26. Radsley 21. Renan Castro 20. Schiappacasse N. 30. Thalyson 19. Thayllon 25. Tiago Indio
Coaches
Higo	de Freitas U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Italo Carvalho ⚽,
35', Rafael Milhorim ↓, Raimar ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Jeferson 🟨,
56', Gazao 🟨,
56', 🟨,
68', Gazao ↓, Ariel ↑,
68', Adrianinho ↓, Clinton ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Jeferson ⚽,
83', Edilson ↓, Schiappacasse N. ↑,
83', Italo Carvalho ↓, Eduardo ↑,
88', Pablo ↓, Thayllon ↑,
88', Marcinho ↓, Radsley ↑,
90+7', 🟨,

Preview

An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 3rd and 4th).

In recent outings, Brusque has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Paysandu is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Brusque is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Brusque has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 6:3 (averaging 1.2:0.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Brusque against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brusque FC
Brazilian Serie C
03.10.26	Internacional de Limeira - Brusque	2:2 ✺
27.09.26	Brusque - Ferroviária	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Ferroviária - Brusque	3:2 ✺
13.09.26	Brusque - Internacional de Limeira	2:2 ✺
07.09.26	Paysandu - Brusque	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 TTLTW
- Paysandu PA
Brazilian Serie C
03.10.26	Paysandu - Ferroviária	1:0 ✺
26.09.26	Internacional de Limeira - Paysandu	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Paysandu - Internacional de Limeira	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Ferroviária - Paysandu	1:0 ✺
07.09.26	Paysandu - Brusque	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
07.09.26	Paysandu - Brusque	1:2
12.04.26	Paysandu - Brusque	1:1
Brazilian Serie B
11.11.24	Paysandu - Brusque	1:0
24.07.24	Brusque - Paysandu	1:0
Brazilian Serie C
01.07.23	Paysandu - Brusque	0:2

Brusque - Paysandu