Match Info

NORWAY: OBOS-LIGAEN - ROUND 8

Date: 16 May 2023, Tuesday

Location: Bryne Stadion (Bryne)

Referee: Hatam A. (Nor)


	Bryne		Jerv

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.6	3.25	Watch
	2.1	3.3	3.2
	2.02	3.65	3.3
	2.15	3.58	3.32
	2.1	3.3	3
	2.09	3.68	3.25	Watch
	2.12	3.35	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.4)	3.49 ↑ (3.1)	3.2 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bryne
44.3%

Draw
26.7%

Jerv
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

29.1%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

28.3%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bryne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bryne's performance.

Jerv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bryne than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bryne that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jerv than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	9.1%	27.3%

Bryne - Jerv Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Bryne will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Jerv will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bryne: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bryne won 2.

Recent matches Bryne is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Jerv is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bryne will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Bryne won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Bryne won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bryne FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
13.05.23	Bryne - Mjøndalen	2:1 ✺
06.05.23	Kristiansund - Bryne	3:1 ✺
03.05.23	Bryne - Fredrikstad	0:0 ✺
29.04.23	Sogndal - Bryne	2:2 ✺
23.04.23	Bryne - Start	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLTTT
- FK Jerv
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
13.05.23	Jerv - Fredrikstad	1:1 ✺
07.05.23	Kongsvinger - Jerv	2:1 ✺
03.05.23	Jerv - Mjøndalen	2:3 ✺
30.04.23	Moss - Jerv	2:1 ✺
22.04.23	Jerv - Skeid	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
27.03.22	Bryne - Jerv	1:2
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
06.11.21	Bryne - Jerv	2:0
12.06.21	Jerv - Bryne	2:1
Club Friendly
01.05.21	Bryne - Jerv	1:0
Norwegian NM Cup
24.05.17	Jerv - Bryne	2:1
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
02.10.16	Jerv - Bryne	1:3
08.05.16	Bryne - Jerv	0:1

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