The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Buchbach 42.2%
Draw 24.7%
Wacker Burghausen 33.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
50.6%
23.3%
26.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.4%
24.1%
25.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Buchbach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Buchbach's form might have worsened.
Wacker Burghausen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wacker Burghausen's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buchbach than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Buchbach, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wacker Burghausen than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wacker Burghausen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Buchbach - Wacker Burghausen Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, Hofherr A. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
52', 0 - 2, Bangerter M. ⚽,
72', 1 - 2, Kainz L. ⚽,
84', 1 - 3, Sodji M. ⚽,
85', 2 - 3, Kainz L. ⚽,
90+4', 3 - 3, Stossberger T. ⚽,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 2nd and 10th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Buchbach won 1.
Buchbach has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Burghausen shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Buchbach has recorded 5 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:31 (averaging 1.2:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Buchbach against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with 12:12 goals (averaging 1.2:1.2 per game).